Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.035822 0.038664 0.041646 0.045011 0.048709 0.052654 0.057189
2025-04-06 0.030630 0.034549 0.038883 0.044051 0.050067 0.056879 0.065215
2025-04-13 0.027905 0.032545 0.037888 0.044536 0.052637 0.062259 0.074655
2025-04-20 0.025648 0.030717 0.036747 0.044511 0.054336 0.066480 0.082817
2025-04-27 0.024143 0.029583 0.036237 0.045068 0.056621 0.071417 0.092125
2025-05-04 0.022559 0.028182 0.035225 0.044818 0.057734 0.074801 0.099538
2025-05-11 0.021248 0.027007 0.034376 0.044650 0.058853 0.078169 0.107093
2025-05-18 0.020070 0.025908 0.033524 0.044373 0.059734 0.081191 0.114313
2025-05-25 0.019095 0.025007 0.032859 0.044268 0.060796 0.084474 0.122112
2025-06-01 0.018035 0.023921 0.031863 0.043611 0.060980 0.086438 0.128004
2025-06-08 0.017014 0.022828 0.030787 0.042752 0.060779 0.087767 0.132945
2025-06-15 0.016220 0.022008 0.030043 0.042317 0.061154 0.089957 0.139392
2025-06-22 0.015483 0.021239 0.029340 0.041911 0.061559 0.092241 0.146238
2025-06-29 0.014677 0.020330 0.028388 0.041068 0.061220 0.093295 0.151065
2025-07-06 0.014294 0.020019 0.028292 0.041523 0.062950 0.097812 0.162298
2025-07-13 0.013812 0.019537 0.027912 0.041502 0.063894 0.101064 0.171535
2025-07-20 0.013501 0.019292 0.027876 0.042015 0.065734 0.105950 0.184217
2025-07-27 0.013027 0.018779 0.027399 0.041785 0.066298 0.108635 0.192953
2025-08-03 0.012603 0.018321 0.026986 0.041631 0.066971 0.111544 0.202371
2025-08-10 0.012181 0.017851 0.026529 0.041376 0.067443 0.114103 0.211310
2025-08-17 0.011821 0.017460 0.026181 0.041280 0.068182 0.117190 0.221610
2025-08-24 0.011371 0.016911 0.025554 0.040675 0.067962 0.118446 0.228159
2025-08-31 0.010908 0.016324 0.024841 0.039886 0.067356 0.118908 0.233025